That's Birdie All Day Long
4ore play
Scottie Scheffler
Way too good and way too cheap. This really feels like a free square when everyone else seems to be fixated by Morikawa and Spieth…well I like Spieth too. Regardless, I’m not passing up on the cheap pricing of Scheffler. The guy just finished 2nd at the PGA Championship, and has had plenty of time of the past few weeks to keep the batteries charged. What else can you really say about Scottie at this point? He’s having one of the best seasons we’ve seen in quite a while, and his current competition with Jon Rahm is only making this season even more special for both players. If you don’t know what Scheffler can do on the course, you haven’t been watching much golf…the guy is really good.
Overall Stat Model: 1st
Confi”dance” Model: 1st
Aggregate Model: 2nd
Power Rankings: 1st
Akshay Bhatia
Did he pick up his caddy and girlfriend on Instagram? Damn right he did. Yet, Bhatia is going fairly unoticed in the field this week. There are things I really like about his game that just fits this course. This is a ball stirkers paradise, and he ranks 5th in the field in said category. In addition to that, he ranks 6th on approach, 5th in GIR, 24th in strokes gained tee to green, and 8th in scoring. While many are using the RBC Heritage and Harbour Town as a viable comp, I would like to point out that the fairways are more penal there. Getting off the tee was a problem there, and hopefully it is all figured out for the weekend.
Overall Stat Model: 13th
Confi”dance” Model: 43rd
Aggregate Model: 11th
Power Rankings: 16th
Emiliano Grillo
Grillo, Grillo, Grillo. You were on such a roll. Dominating. So we decided to take you off the don’t play list. Here we are again debating what to do, and you’re once again welcomed to the 4ORE Play. Now Grillo did miss the cut last weekend. Just looking at his scores and he was bad. Yet, don’t get confused by one bad hole. He actually played quite alright but had some tough breaks on a really difficult course. Here Grillo will be able to break through due to his elite iron play, and the small greens these players are going to see this weekend. We often worry about putting or Grillo, but luckily these greens are tiny, and we should see him at his best. Can we count on him to win? Hell no. Yet, we can bank on a top-5.
Overall Stat Model: 17th
Confi”dance” Model: 23rd
Aggregate Model: 19th
Power Rankings: 15th
Jordan Spieth
The injury will make people second guess this play. I get that. Yet, this Texas boy loves this course and he always has the potential to win here based on his course history. Spieth did not look dominant last weekend, but proved enough doubt about his injured wrist with a top-30 finish. Yet, we’ve seen putters get hot and get wins here before. Spieth can do that. Yet, more impressively is that he ranks 18th in the field in approach, 14th in scoring, 12th in tee to green, and 17th in around the green stats. Spieth can easily come out of here the winner.
Overall Stat Model: 3rd
Confi”dance” Model: 2nd
Aggregate Model: 3rd
Power Rankings: 2nd
The 19th Hole
Top Advice
Don't Suck
Additional Top Plays
Russell Henley
Tony Finau
Sungjae "The Terminator" Im
Billy Horschel
Viktor Hovland
Wild Cards
Hayden Buckley
Sepp Straka
Denny McCarthy
Chrstiaan Bezuidenhout
Joel Dahmen
Tommy Fleetwood
The Putters
***These guys don't appear as strong plays in your overall stat models, but have the goods on the dance floor to thrive in this tournament if they can put it together for 4 rounds.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Sam Burns
Patrick Rodgers
Taylor Moore
Callum Tarren
Aaron Baddeley
Brendon Todd
Alex Noren
Justin Suh
Watch Me Deliver
***These players hit greens like no other, but they just aren't pushing your models to the limit. Put it together for 4 rounds and pepper those greens.
Mark Hubbard
David Lipsky
Luke List
Top 10 Overall Power Rankings (Stat Driven)
1. Scottie Scheffler
2. Jordan Spieth
3. Viktor Hovland
4. Tommy Fleetwood
5. Rickie Fowler
6. Max Homa
7. Justin Rose
8. Collin Morikawa
9. Tony Finau
10. Russell Henley
7K Power Rankings
1. Emiliano Grillo
2. Hayden Buckley
3. Sepp Straka
4. Kurt Kitayama
5. Eric Cole
6. Joseph Bramlett
7. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
8. Nick Taylor
9. Alex Smalley
10. Ryan Palmer
Highest Cut% with 8%+ Ownership
Joseph Bramlett -38.05%
Nick Tyalor -37.53%
Beau Hossler -35.98%
Justin Suh -35.73%
Can't Do It
-Rickie Fowler- I want the old Rickie back. I really do. Yet, even this version gives me pause to eat 17% ownership at max price in the 8K pricing tier. There are players in this range that can dominate any projected performance, and I'm not afraid to look elsewhere.
Grab a brew...don't cost nothin...Core4 coming soon.
